5.0 The Mechanism of International Payments and Parities
A correct understanding of international monetary relations requires moving beyond flawed quantitative theories to a precise analysis of the balance of payments and the determination of foreign exchange rates. This section synthesizes Michael A. Heilperin’s framework, which grounds exchange rate theory in the full spectrum of international transactions—not just merchandise trade—and directly challenges the dominant “purchasing power parity” theory of the era.
5.1 The Balance of Payments: Structure over “Balance”
The term “balance of payments” is often used in two distinct ways. The first refers to the momentary state of supply and demand for foreign currency in the foreign exchange market, which can show a surplus or deficit. The second refers to the retrospective annual statement of all transactions between a country and the rest of the world.
Heilperin emphasizes that this second, comprehensive statement always balances by definition, as every credit is matched by a debit somewhere in the accounts (e.g., a trade deficit is financed by borrowing or a loss of reserves). Therefore, what is truly important for analysis is not if equilibrium is achieved, but how. The crucial insight lies in examining the structure of payments—the relative roles of trade, capital movements, and gold—to understand the stability and health of a nation’s international economic position.
5.2 A Functional Classification of International Transactions
To analyze this structure effectively, Heilperin proposed a functional classification of the transactions that give rise to international payments.
- Trade in commodities and services: This includes the visible trade in merchandise as well as “invisible” items like shipping, tourism, and insurance.
- Capital movements (long-term): This category comprises long-term lending and borrowing, the purchase and sale of securities and real estate, and direct investment.
- Transactions with short-term funds: This includes commercial credits tied to trade as well as financial movements of cash and bank deposits between countries.
- Gold movements: Due to its unique role in settling final balances under the gold standard, gold is treated as a distinct category.
Within this framework, Heilperin identified “independent” movements of short-term funds as a primary source of instability. Unlike funds moving to seek a higher yield (interest rate differentials), these are “flights of capital” driven by a search for safety due to a “crisis of confidence.” Such movements are not self-correcting and can place immense strain on the international monetary system. Addressing the destabilizing potential of these flows, he argued, represents the “central problem of Monetary Internationalism.”
5.3 Rethinking Monetary Parities
The concept of a monetary parity, or the equilibrium exchange rate between two currencies, was central to inter-war debates. Heilperin’s analysis clarified its meaning and critiqued the prevailing theories for calculating it.
First, when two currencies share a common standard like gold, the parity has a clear and precise meaning: the “mint-par.” It is simply the ratio of the fixed prices of gold in the two currencies. For example, if a certain quantity of gold costs $100 in the U.S. and 500 francs in Switzerland, the mint-par is 5 francs to the dollar.
Second, he deconstructed the widely accepted “purchasing power parity” (PPP) theory, most famously formulated by Professor Cassel. This theory held that the natural parity between two currencies was the ratio of their domestic price levels. Heilperin leveled several key criticisms against it:
- It incorrectly assumes that trade in goods and services is the only major international transaction, ignoring the massive and often dominant role of capital movements.
- It relies on the use of statistically dubious “price level” indices, which lack clear economic meaning.
- It wrongly assumes a one-way causality from prices to exchange rates, ignoring the fact that exchange rate fluctuations can themselves cause changes in domestic prices.
Heilperin’s final position was that there is no legitimate way to calculate an a priori “natural” parity. This pragmatic, a posteriori test of a parity’s validity is the necessary conclusion after his systematic dismantling of a priori quantitative theories, whether based on gold supply or flawed price indices. The only valid test of any given parity is pragmatic: is it a rate at which the mechanism of adjusting the balance of payments can function effectively and sustainably without imposing unbearable strain on the domestic economy?
This pragmatic view of parities is a crucial component of a more universal theory of how monetary equilibrium is maintained.